Alianza Lima vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1972 |
ALI
1 - 0
USF
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1972 |
ALI
2 - 2
UNI
47%
22%
31%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1972 |
USF
0 - 0
ALI
48%
21%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1972 |
UCH
2 - 3
ALI
62%
19%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1972 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1972 |
UCH
2 - 1
USF
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1972 |
UCH
1 - 0
UNI
52%
21%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1972 |
UCH
2 - 3
ALI
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1972 |
USF
3 - 2
UCH
40%
22%
38%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1970 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
UCH
71%
17%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |