Alianza Lima vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2022 |
RIV
8 - 1
ALI
79%
15%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MUN
0 - 3
ALI
31%
29%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 2
FOR
29%
28%
44%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 0
VAL
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 1
ALI
20%
27%
53%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
CIE
3 - 2
UTC
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
HUA
3 - 3
CIE
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 0
CIE
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CIE
0 - 1
SPC
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 2
CIE
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |