Alianza FC vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
SMI
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 1
AFC
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 1
AMA
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
AFC
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 0
ARA
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 1
CHE
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
CHO
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 2
TAU
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 2
CHO
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 1
SMI
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |