Alianza FC vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
COS
1 - 1
AFC
51%
26%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 0
SMI
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
SFF
0 - 0
AFC
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
AFC
2 - 2
TAU
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
IND
1 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 0
CHI
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 0
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
AMA
0 - 2
ARA
32%
30%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 2
SMI
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
TAU
1 - 1
ARA
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |