Alfreton Town vs Stockport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
ALF
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 2
TOW
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
COR
2 - 3
ALF
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
GAI
1 - 1
ALF
30%
25%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 1
GLO
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stockport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
STO
2 - 2
COR
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 3
STO
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
STO
0 - 2
LOW
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
STO
0 - 4
FYL
27%
24%
50%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 0
STO
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |