Alfonsine FC 1921 vs Romagna Centro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
61.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
REC
1 - 1
ALF
73%
17%
11%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 2
VIS
19%
22%
59%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
ALF
76%
15%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 3
MAT
18%
21%
62%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 2
COR
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Romagna Centro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 0
PIN
28%
23%
50%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAM
3 - 0
ROM
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 2
ROM
59%
23%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ROM
0 - 0
OLY
46%
25%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VIS
2 - 1
ROM
43%
25%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |