Alemannia Aachen vs Viktoria Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
WUP
1 - 3
AAA
63%
21%
15%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
AAA
4 - 0
OSN
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 1978 |
F95
2 - 1
AAA
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
HOL
2 - 1
AAA
49%
26%
24%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
AAA
4 - 0
AHA
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
VIK
1 - 1
HAN
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
RWL
1 - 1
VIK
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
VIK
3 - 2
ROT
26%
28%
46%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
USO
3 - 2
VIK
76%
17%
7%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
VIK
2 - 1
DSC
34%
23%
44%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | +1 |