Germany U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2006 |
FRA
3 - 0
GER
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2006 |
SYM
0 - 1
GER
24%
22%
54%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
NED
2 - 2
GER
34%
25%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2005 |
GER
1 - 0
CZE
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
CZE
0 - 2
GER
57%
21%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2006 |
POR
0 - 2
SYM
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
FRA
32%
25%
44%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
ITA
40%
26%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
POR
2 - 1
SUI
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SUI
1 - 1
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |