Germany U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
GER
1 - 1
SUI
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 4
GER
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
GER
2 - 2
AUT
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
GER
76%
15%
8%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
SUI
3 - 2
GER
31%
25%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 3
AUT
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 0
SVN
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 4
GER
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
AUT
1 - 0
ITA
35%
24%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
SVN
4 - 0
ITA
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | -1 |