Germany U19 vs Croatia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2004 |
SRB
1 - 1
GER
27%
24%
50%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
GER
1 - 1
LVA
84%
12%
5%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
SVN
0 - 3
GER
17%
21%
62%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
TUR
1 - 1
GER
30%
24%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
GER
3 - 1
POL
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Croatia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 2
ROU
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2004 |
SWE
3 - 1
CRO
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
CRO
6 - 0
LIE
94%
5%
1%
|
56 | 9 | 47 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
CRO
3 - 1
ROU
70%
18%
13%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
RUS
0 - 2
CRO
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |