UE Alcudia vs Campos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
11º
18º
12º
7
5º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 76 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 71 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 64 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 59 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 56 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 55 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 52 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 47 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 45 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 45 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 40 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
6 | 39 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 37 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 35 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 33 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
15% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 28 |
18º
|
28% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5.5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 57% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 38.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UE Alcudia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FLN
3 - 1
ALC
38%
24%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 2
SDF
18%
24%
59%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
PBL
0 - 0
ALC
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
CLL
67%
19%
15%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MER
0 - 0
ALC
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Campos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
SNF
23%
23%
55%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LLO
5 - 1
CAM
50%
24%
27%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FLN
2 - 1
CAM
42%
24%
35%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 1
SDF
11%
21%
69%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +4 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PBL
4 - 0
CAM
83%
12%
6%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |