Alcorcón B vs SAD Villaverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
13º
9º
24
6º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 72 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 59 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 57 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 57 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 57 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 55 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 54 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 51 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 46 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 45 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 42 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 32 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 28 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 28 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 26 |
18º
|
29.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LRZ
0 - 1
ALC
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAN
62%
22%
17%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 4
ALC
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 0
LEG
28%
25%
48%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ADP
1 - 1
ALC
25%
25%
49%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
SAD Villaverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
TRJ
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
3 - 1
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
POZ
33%
27%
40%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
VLO
37%
26%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
COL
2 - 0
VIL
33%
25%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |