RSD Alcalá vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
HOS
1 - 1
ALC
51%
28%
22%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1982 |
BET
4 - 2
ALC
89%
8%
3%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
ALC
1 - 3
POR
58%
26%
16%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
SFE
2 - 2
ALC
51%
27%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1982 |
ALC
1 - 0
BET
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
RJA
1 - 3
GRA
47%
29%
24%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
HOS
2 - 2
RJA
51%
28%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
RJA
1 - 0
AGD
37%
31%
33%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
POR
3 - 0
RJA
57%
26%
16%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
RJA
1 - 1
LOR
51%
29%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |