RSD Alcalá vs Móstoles CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 0
SIE
62%
23%
16%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 2
ALC
39%
28%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
MOR
32%
26%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALC
41%
26%
32%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 0
POZ
40%
28%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
MOS
58%
23%
19%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MOS
1 - 2
CDM
16%
23%
61%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 1
MOS
57%
24%
19%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MOS
4 - 3
ADP
29%
25%
46%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
MOS
0 - 3
LEG
13%
20%
68%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |