Alcalá del Río CF vs CD Peñaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
44.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá del Río CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 1
ALC
55%
20%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ALC
7 - 2
PRI
67%
19%
15%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 2
ALC
47%
22%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 0
CRL
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 0
ALC
15%
18%
67%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
CAZ
68%
17%
14%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CRL
0 - 3
PEÑ
9%
14%
77%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 2
PEÑ
7%
15%
78%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
BRG
79%
13%
9%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 0
PEÑ
22%
21%
58%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |