Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 6-4
Alcalá de Guadaira vs Aviaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá de Guadaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
AFC
1 - 0
AGU
18%
24%
58%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
AGU
1 - 0
REC
28%
28%
44%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
AMA
0 - 1
AGU
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
AGU
0 - 2
BAL
44%
26%
30%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1969 |
AMC
4 - 3
AGU
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aviaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
TAL
4 - 2
AMC
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
AMC
1 - 1
ATB
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
COL
2 - 1
AMC
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
AMC
2 - 3
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1969 |
AMC
4 - 3
AGU
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |