CD Alcalá vs At. Sanluqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
ALC
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAD
63%
21%
15%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CON
3 - 3
ALC
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
AGD
3 - 1
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 3
AGD
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
SRO
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
COR
2 - 3
SAN
38%
25%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
SEV
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
REC
70%
19%
12%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |