Campeonato de Portugal Grupo C round 3

Alcains vs O Elvas analysis

Alcains O Elvas
20 ELO 63
-16.5% Tilt -14.7%
10790º General ELO ranking 1949º
253º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
14.1%
Alcains
21.1%
Draw
64.9%
O Elvas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
Alcains
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.8%
Win probability
O Elvas
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alcains
+50%
-9%
O Elvas

Points and table prediction

Alcains
Their league position
O Elvas
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
14º
14º
22
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
O Elvas
22
56
88.5%
União de Coimbra
12
46
40%
Marinhense
13
44
23%
Fatima
15
40
17%
FC Alverca II
15
40
17.5%
Peniche
16
38
12.5%
Mortágua
11º
10
35
14%
Arronches e Benfica
16
35
13%
Benfica Castelo Branco
10º
10
32
12.5%
Pombal
11
30
10º
14%
Sertanense
14º
5
27
11º
12%
Pêro Pinheiro
13º
7
26
12º
23%
Marialvas
11
26
13º
20%
Alcains
12º
8
21
14º
42%
Expected probabilities
Alcains
O Elvas
Promotion play-offs
0% 95.5%
Mid-table
8% 4.5%
Relegation
92% 0%

ELO progression

Alcains
O Elvas
Pêro Pinheiro
Marinhense
União de Coimbra
Fatima
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alcains
Alcains
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2024
FAT
Fatima
0 - 0
Alcains
ALC
84%
11%
5%
20 36 16 0
18 Aug. 2024
ALC
Alcains
0 - 1
Pêro Pinheiro
PER
18%
23%
59%
20 34 14 0
16 Apr. 2023
SER
Sertanense
1 - 3
Alcains
ALC
76%
17%
7%
19 42 23 +1
08 Apr. 2023
ALC
Alcains
2 - 0
Arronches e Benfica
SAB
17%
19%
64%
17 26 9 +2
02 Apr. 2023
ALC
Alcains
2 - 5
Loures
LOU
15%
23%
63%
18 34 16 -1

Matches

O Elvas
O Elvas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2024
OEL
O Elvas
2 - 0
Marialvas
MAR
69%
19%
12%
63 15 48 0
18 Aug. 2024
MOR
Mortágua
1 - 1
O Elvas
OEL
19%
23%
58%
63 41 22 0
07 Apr. 2024
OEL
O Elvas
2 - 1
Vitória Setúbal
VST
57%
25%
19%
63 50 13 0
24 Mar. 2024
ALE
Lusitano Évora 1911
1 - 1
O Elvas
OEL
18%
26%
57%
63 47 16 0
17 Mar. 2024
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
2 - 1
O Elvas
OEL
19%
23%
58%
63 42 21 0