Albirex Niigata vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
JEF
0 - 1
ALB
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NAG
1 - 0
ALB
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 2
KYO
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 2
GAM
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SHI
1 - 1
ALB
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
OIT
2 - 1
JUB
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FCT
2 - 0
OIT
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
OIT
0 - 2
VIS
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
OIT
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
KAA
1 - 0
OIT
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |