Deportivo Alavés vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
38.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
CCF
1 - 0
ALA
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1975 |
ALA
0 - 1
UES
47%
26%
26%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
ALA
1 - 0
CAD
32%
29%
39%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
SEV
1 - 0
ALA
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1975 |
ALA
1 - 0
HUE
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
BUR
1 - 1
REC
76%
17%
8%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1975 |
BUR
3 - 1
MUR
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
MLL
1 - 0
BUR
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
BUR
1 - 1
CDT
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
VAD
4 - 2
BUR
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |