LD Alajuelense vs Sporting FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
4º
2º
26
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 3
LDA
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LDA
4 - 0
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 2
LDA
23%
27%
51%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LDA
2 - 0
PFC
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
LDA
2 - 0
CSC
53%
23%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
SPO
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAP
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 3
CSH
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 1
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPO
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |