Al-Wakrah vs Umm Salal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
8º
4º
11
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 43 |
1º
|
49.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 42 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 39 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 32 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 31 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 31 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 31 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
11 | 29 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 26 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 22 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 22 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 16 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
1.5% | 2.5% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
4.5% | 3% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
11% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Wakrah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WAK
0 - 3
SAA
41%
24%
35%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
QAT
2 - 1
WAK
30%
26%
45%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
WAK
2 - 0
UMM
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
WAK
3 - 1
KHO
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAY
0 - 2
WAK
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Umm Salal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
UMM
0 - 0
KHO
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
GHA
3 - 1
UMM
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
WAK
2 - 0
UMM
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UMM
5 - 0
GHA
27%
22%
51%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
UMM
2 - 2
QAT
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |