Al-Wehda vs Al-Riyadh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
7º
17º
14º
22
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 72 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 68 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 60 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 58 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 57 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 52 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 50 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 47 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 47 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 45 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 45 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 42 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 38 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 36 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 35 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 33 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 33 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 30 |
18º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
31.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Wehda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 1
ALW
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
0 - 0
ALW
9%
18%
73%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ALW
0 - 0
QAT
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
ALW
1 - 2
ALH
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALW
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Riyadh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
AMS
1 - 1
ALR
25%
23%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 2
ALA
22%
21%
57%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
ALK
1 - 2
ALR
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
ALR
2 - 2
ALN
24%
25%
52%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ALH
1 - 1
ALR
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |