Al-Wehda vs Al-Riyadh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
7º
16º
13º
4
6º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
9 | 61 |
1º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 61 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 57 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 56 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 55 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 54 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 53 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 52 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 50 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 50 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 47 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 44 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 41 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 38 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 36 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 32 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 30 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 29 |
18º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 64% |
|
Relegation
|
23% | 35.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Wehda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 1
ALW
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
0 - 0
ALW
9%
18%
73%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ALW
0 - 0
QAT
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
ALW
1 - 2
ALH
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALW
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Riyadh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
AMS
1 - 1
ALR
25%
23%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 2
ALA
22%
21%
57%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
ALK
1 - 2
ALR
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
ALR
2 - 2
ALN
24%
25%
52%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ALH
1 - 1
ALR
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |