Division 1 round 18

Al-Tai SC vs Al-Najma FC analysis

Al-Tai SC Al-Najma FC
74 ELO 68
11.8% Tilt -3%
870º General ELO ranking 1513º
14º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
64.3%
Al-Tai SC
20.4%
Draw
15.3%
Al-Najma FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
Al-Tai SC
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.3%
Win probability
Al-Najma FC
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al-Tai SC
-5%
+9%
Al-Najma FC

Points and table prediction

Al-Tai SC
Their league position
Al-Najma FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
18º
30
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Al-Hazem SC
35
63
37.5%
Neom SC
37
62
21.5%
Al-Adalah Club
36
61
19%
Al-Tai SC
30
55
11.5%
Al-Arabi SC
30
55
15%
Al-Jabalain FC
34
55
17%
Abha
29
53
19%
Al-Najma FC
30
52
11.5%
Al-Batin
11º
23
45
18.5%
Al-Faisaly FC
16º
19
43
10º
10.5%
Jeddah Club
10º
23
42
11º
15%
Al-Zulfi
12º
22
41
12º
16%
Al-Bukiryah
24
40
13º
12.5%
Al Jandal
14º
21
39
14º
15.5%
Al-Safa
15º
21
37
15º
17.5%
Al-Ain FC
17º
19
35
16º
20.5%
Al Jubail
13º
22
35
17º
19.5%
Ohod
18º
12
24
18º
84%
Expected probabilities
Al-Tai SC
Al-Najma FC
Promotion
11.5% 5.5%
Promotion play-offs
64% 46.5%
Mid-table
24.5% 48%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Al-Tai SC
Al-Najma FC
Al-Safa
Al-Batin
Al-Ain FC
Al-Hazem SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al-Tai SC
Al-Tai SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2025
ALJ
Al Jubail
2 - 2
Al-Tai SC
ALT
17%
26%
57%
75 58 17 0
12 Jan. 2025
ALT
Al-Tai SC
2 - 1
Abha
ABH
56%
22%
22%
74 69 5 +1
04 Jan. 2025
ZUL
Al-Zulfi
2 - 3
Al-Tai SC
ALT
31%
27%
42%
74 65 9 0
16 Dec. 2024
ALT
Al-Tai SC
1 - 1
Al-Arabi SC
ALR
56%
23%
21%
74 71 3 0
10 Dec. 2024
ADA
Al-Adalah Club
2 - 1
Al-Tai SC
ALT
42%
27%
31%
74 72 2 0

Matches

Al-Najma FC
Al-Najma FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2025
OHO
Ohod
1 - 1
Al-Najma FC
NAJ
26%
25%
49%
66 57 9 0
06 Jan. 2025
NAJ
Al-Najma FC
3 - 0
Abha
ABH
31%
25%
44%
65 69 4 +1
18 Dec. 2024
ALB
Al-Bukiryah
2 - 0
Al-Najma FC
NAJ
34%
27%
39%
66 60 6 -1
09 Dec. 2024
JAB
Al-Jabalain FC
1 - 0
Al-Najma FC
NAJ
44%
26%
30%
66 68 2 0
02 Dec. 2024
NAJ
Al-Najma FC
1 - 0
Jeddah Club
RAB
47%
25%
28%
65 63 2 +1