Al-Shamal vs Muaither analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
11º
9º
15
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shamal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RAY
2 - 1
ALS
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
UMM
2 - 0
ALS
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
ALS
0 - 0
ARA
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
GHA
1 - 1
ALS
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
SAA
4 - 0
ALS
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Muaither
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
ALM
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 4
WAK
25%
26%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 2
ARA
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
QAT
3 - 2
ALM
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 0
RAY
21%
24%
56%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |