Al-Shabab vs El Jaish analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
ALS
3 - 2
ALH
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
ALS
2 - 2
ALR
59%
22%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
ALF
1 - 2
ALS
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
ALS
3 - 1
ALW
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALS
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
El Jaish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 1
JAI
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
KHO
2 - 0
JAI
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
JAI
1 - 0
SAA
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
JAI
2 - 0
GHA
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 2
JAI
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |