Al-Shabab vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
3º
12º
5º
17
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 67 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
17 | 63 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 60 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 55 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 54 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 53 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 51 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 50 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 48 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 45 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 45 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 44 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 44 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 39 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 37 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 35 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 32 |
17º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 29 |
18º
|
31.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
13.5% | 64% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 36% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
DHA
1 - 0
ALS
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALR
42%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
KHO
1 - 3
ALS
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALT
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALQ
0 - 1
ALS
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALN
3 - 0
ALO
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
ALN
2 - 1
RAY
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ALN
2 - 0
ALW
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
ALH
1 - 2
ALN
33%
23%
44%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 3
ALN
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |