CAF Champions 1/16
Global 8-1
Al Ittihad Tripoli vs AS Tempête analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ittihad Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
AIT
3 - 1
AAB
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
TEM
1 - 2
AIT
19%
24%
58%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
ATB
0 - 0
AIT
22%
28%
51%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
AIT
3 - 2
ALO
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
AIT
3 - 1
ALS
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AS Tempête
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
TEM
1 - 2
AIT
19%
24%
58%
|
9 | 68 | 59 | 0 |