AFC Champions League Elite Final
Global 3-0
Al-Hilal SFC vs Urawa Reds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ALH
4 - 1
ARA
94%
5%
1%
|
81 | 8 | 73 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
ALF
3 - 3
ALH
16%
23%
61%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ALH
1 - 2
ALN
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
ALH
2 - 4
SAA
50%
22%
28%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
ALH
3 - 0
DHA
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
URA
0 - 2
KAW
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
KAA
1 - 0
URA
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
URA
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
URA
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
URA
0 - 1
OIT
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |