Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Taawoun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
24.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
2º
1º
18
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
32 | 69 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 68 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 60 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 60 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 56 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 53 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 50 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 48 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 48 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 47 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 44 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
8 | 38 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 35 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 35 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 32 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 30 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 30 |
18º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
85.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
14.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
AIN
4 - 5
ALH
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
ALH
3 - 0
ALF
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALH
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
ALH
5 - 0
ALS
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KHO
2 - 4
ALH
25%
26%
50%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Taawoun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DHA
2 - 2
ALT
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 0
ALF
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 1
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
ABH
2 - 3
ALT
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALT
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |