Al-Gharafa vs Al-Arabi Doha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
11º
3º
13
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 45 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 42 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 41 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 36 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 31 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 29 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 27 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 27 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 26 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 25 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 19 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 19 |
12º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
23.5% | 0.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
30% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
29% | 85% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ADS
1 - 1
GHA
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 2
WAS
26%
21%
53%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
GHA
3 - 1
UMM
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 1
ALS
66%
18%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UMM
5 - 0
GHA
27%
22%
51%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Al-Arabi Doha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
4 - 1
QAT
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALS
5 - 2
ARA
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
ADS
41%
23%
36%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 0
ALS
46%
23%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
RAY
41%
25%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |