Al Ahly SC vs Wydad Casablanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
ALA
2 - 2
MIS
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
MOK
1 - 5
ALA
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
ALA
2 - 2
SMO
59%
25%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
ZAM
2 - 2
ALA
45%
27%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ALA
2 - 1
ISM
43%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wydad Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
SIM
0 - 3
WYD
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
WYD
1 - 2
MOG
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
JSK
0 - 3
WYD
33%
34%
34%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
WYD
1 - 1
HAS
52%
27%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TPM
2 - 0
WYD
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |