Al Ahly SC vs Smouha SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALM
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2023 |
ENP
0 - 2
ALA
35%
27%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 0
ASY
43%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
CCF
1 - 1
ALA
32%
27%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
SMO
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Smouha SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
SMO
2 - 1
GEI
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SMO
0 - 2
PHA
71%
20%
10%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
CCF
1 - 1
SMO
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
SMO
0 - 0
GHA
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
SMO
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |