CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Al-Ahly vs Kano Pillars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 2
ENP
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ALA
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
KAN
1 - 1
ALA
36%
28%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
GHA
0 - 0
ALA
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 1
ETI
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kano Pillars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
KAN
1 - 1
ENU
48%
29%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
JUT
2 - 1
KAN
39%
32%
29%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
KAN
1 - 1
ALA
36%
28%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
KAN
2 - 1
AKW
51%
28%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
KAN
2 - 1
ZAM
44%
29%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |