Al Ahly SC vs El Gouna FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
PET
0 - 1
ALA
22%
27%
51%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 1
MOK
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
WAS
1 - 1
ALA
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
ESP
3 - 0
ALA
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
ALA
3 - 1
ESP
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
El Gouna FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
ZAM
3 - 0
GOU
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
MOK
4 - 2
GOU
49%
27%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GOU
1 - 1
SMO
31%
30%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
GEI
5 - 0
GOU
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
GOU
1 - 1
ENP
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |