NPFL round 15

Akwa United vs Sunshine Stars analysis

Akwa United Sunshine Stars
70 ELO 68
-4.3% Tilt -21.3%
1167º General ELO ranking 1240º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
55%
Akwa United
25.7%
Draw
19.4%
Sunshine Stars

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
Akwa United
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
19.4%
Win probability
Sunshine Stars
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Akwa United
-4%
-5%
Sunshine Stars

Points and table prediction

Akwa United
Their league position
Sunshine Stars
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
14º
20º
16º
52
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Enugu Rangers
70
70
100%
Remo Stars
65
65
100%
Shooting Stars
62
62
100%
Enyimba
61
61
100%
Plateau United
59
59
100%
Lobi Stars
58
58
100%
Katsina United
55
55
100%
Abia Warriors
54
54
100%
Rivers United
53
53
100%
Bendel Insurance
10º
53
53
10º
100%
Kano Pillars
11º
52
52
11º
0%
Sunshine Stars
12º
52
52
12º
0%
Kwara United
13º
51
51
13º
100%
Niger Tornadoes
14º
51
51
14º
100%
Bayelsa United
15º
50
50
15º
100%
Akwa United
16º
49
49
16º
100%
Sporting Lagos FC
17º
46
46
17º
100%
Doma United FC
18º
43
43
18º
100%
Heartland Owerri
19º
38
38
19º
100%
Gombe United
20º
25
31
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Akwa United
Sunshine Stars
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
CAF Confederation Cup
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Akwa United
Sunshine Stars
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Akwa United
Akwa United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2023
HEA
Heartland Owerri
1 - 0
Akwa United
AKW
29%
30%
41%
70 61 9 0
10 Dec. 2023
AKW
Akwa United
1 - 0
Lobi Stars
LOB
52%
26%
21%
71 69 2 -1
06 Dec. 2023
KAN
Kano Pillars
1 - 0
Akwa United
AKW
44%
30%
27%
70 70 0 +1
02 Dec. 2023
AKW
Akwa United
1 - 1
Kwara United
KWA
57%
24%
19%
71 65 6 -1
26 Nov. 2023
NIG
Niger Tornadoes
1 - 0
Akwa United
AKW
30%
32%
38%
70 65 5 +1

Matches

Sunshine Stars
Sunshine Stars
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2023
SUN
Sunshine Stars
1 - 1
Gombe United
GOM
51%
27%
22%
67 64 3 0
10 Dec. 2023
BEN
Bendel Insurance
1 - 0
Sunshine Stars
SUN
47%
29%
24%
68 71 3 -1
06 Dec. 2023
SUN
Sunshine Stars
1 - 0
Shooting Stars
SHO
44%
28%
28%
67 68 1 +1
02 Dec. 2023
ENY
Enyimba
1 - 0
Sunshine Stars
SUN
53%
26%
21%
68 69 1 -1
26 Nov. 2023
SUN
Sunshine Stars
1 - 0
Sporting Lagos FC
SLF
74%
18%
9%
68 14 54 0