Aksarayspor vs Derince Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aksarayspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TEK
1 - 0
AKS
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AKS
1 - 0
PAY
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ELA
1 - 0
AKS
14%
23%
63%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AKS
2 - 1
SAK
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
MAL
0 - 3
AKS
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Derince Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
DER
1 - 1
MAL
50%
25%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 2
DER
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ANK
1 - 0
DER
37%
25%
39%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DER
2 - 0
KAH
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
KIZ
0 - 0
DER
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |