AP Brera vs Bregalnica Štip analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
10º
38
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AKP
4 - 3
POB
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
AKP
1 - 1
FKD
84%
11%
5%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
AKP
1 - 2
GDA
22%
22%
56%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
GDA
4 - 1
AKP
69%
19%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
CSK
3 - 1
AKP
72%
17%
12%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 2
BRE
16%
21%
63%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
BRE
4 - 0
KGE
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 0
TKS
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 0
RAB
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
POB
0 - 2
BRE
19%
21%
60%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |