First League round 1

AP Brera vs Bregalnica Štip analysis

AP Brera Bregalnica Štip
63 ELO 61
4.4% Tilt -4.5%
3177º General ELO ranking 4035º
10º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
49.1%
AP Brera
24.9%
Draw
26%
Bregalnica Štip

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
AP Brera
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26%
Win probability
Bregalnica Štip
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AP Brera
-6%
-5%
Bregalnica Štip

Points and table prediction

AP Brera
Their league position
Bregalnica Štip
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
11º
10º
38
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Struga
66
69
100%
Shkupi
59
63
94.5%
KF Shkëndija
54
58
94%
Sileks
47
51
98.5%
Makedonija GP
39
42
25%
Bregalnica Štip
38
42
27.5%
Tikvesh
37
41
36.5%
Rabotnički
37
41
38.5%
Renova
12º
0
32
33%
AP Brera
27
31
10º
51.5%
FK Skopje
10º
22
25
11º
83.5%
FK Pobeda
11º
13
14
12º
97%
Expected probabilities
AP Brera
Bregalnica Štip
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 15%
Mid-table
48.5% 85%
Relegation play-offs
51.5% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

AP Brera
Bregalnica Štip
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AP Brera
AP Brera
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2022
AKP
AP Brera
4 - 3
FK Pobeda
POB
77%
15%
8%
64 48 16 0
23 Jul. 2022
AKP
AP Brera
1 - 1
Detonit Junior
FKD
84%
11%
5%
64 36 28 0
14 Jul. 2022
AKP
AP Brera
1 - 2
Lechia Gdansk
GDA
22%
22%
56%
65 78 13 -1
07 Jul. 2022
GDA
Lechia Gdansk
4 - 1
AP Brera
AKP
69%
19%
13%
65 77 12 0
29 Jun. 2022
CSK
CSKA 1948 Sofia
3 - 1
AP Brera
AKP
72%
17%
12%
66 74 8 -1

Matches

Bregalnica Štip
Bregalnica Štip
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2022
BEL
Belasica
1 - 2
Bregalnica Štip
BRE
16%
21%
63%
61 48 13 0
27 Jul. 2022
BRE
Bregalnica Štip
4 - 0
Kozuv Gevgelija
KGE
82%
13%
5%
61 40 21 0
14 Jul. 2022
BRE
Bregalnica Štip
2 - 0
Trajal Krusevac
TKS
69%
19%
12%
61 52 9 0
10 Jul. 2022
BRE
Bregalnica Štip
0 - 0
Rabotnički
RAB
51%
24%
25%
61 62 1 0
05 Jul. 2022
POB
FK Pobeda
0 - 2
Bregalnica Štip
BRE
19%
21%
60%
61 48 13 0