Ajax vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
UTR
1 - 4
AJA
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
ATH
2 - 0
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
ZWO
0 - 3
AJA
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
AJA
4 - 2
ZWO
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
VVV
0 - 5
PSV
21%
24%
54%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
GAE
2 - 0
VVV
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
VVV
1 - 0
HFC
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
HFC
2 - 0
VVV
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
AZA
8 - 1
VVV
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |