Ajax vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.3%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
6.8%
2.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
AZA
1 - 0
AJA
52%
22%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
AJA
3 - 2
RJC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
UTR
3 - 5
AJA
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
GAE
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
PSV
3 - 0
AJA
48%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
HFC
3 - 0
GRA
66%
20%
13%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
TWE
0 - 2
HFC
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
HFC
2 - 1
ZWO
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 2
HFC
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
HFC
1 - 1
FEY
17%
24%
60%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |