Eredivisie U17 Division 1 Herfst round 11

Ajax U17 vs AZ Alkmaar U17 analysis

Ajax U17 AZ Alkmaar U17
26 ELO 30
3.9% Tilt 6.3%
8490º General ELO ranking 9281º
165º Country ELO ranking 178º
ELO win probability
43%
Ajax U17
22.5%
Draw
34.5%
AZ Alkmaar U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
Ajax U17
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.5%
Win probability
AZ Alkmaar U17
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax U17
-14%
-43%
AZ Alkmaar U17

Points and table prediction

Ajax U17
Their league position
AZ Alkmaar U17
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
32
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AZ Alkmaar U17
32
35
100%
Ajax U17
29
29
100%
PSV U17
24
24
100%
Feyenoord U17
22
22
100%
Utrecht U17
20
20
100%
ADO U17
18
18
100%
PEC Zwolle U17
9
9
100%
Hollandia U17
0
0
100%
Expected probabilities
Ajax U17
AZ Alkmaar U17
100% 100%

ELO progression

Ajax U17
AZ Alkmaar U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax U17
Ajax U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2022
ADO
ADO U17
1 - 2
Ajax U17
AJX
22%
19%
59%
26 19 7 0
01 Nov. 2022
AJX
Ajax U17
4 - 0
PEC Zwolle U17
PEZ
86%
9%
5%
26 13 13 0
29 Oct. 2022
AJX
Ajax U17
0 - 0
Feyenoord U17
FEY
69%
17%
14%
26 19 7 0
22 Oct. 2022
HOL
Hollandia U17
0 - 8
Ajax U17
AJX
9%
14%
78%
26 12 14 0
08 Oct. 2022
AJX
Ajax U17
3 - 0
PSV U17
PSV
18%
18%
64%
23 34 11 +3

Matches

AZ Alkmaar U17
AZ Alkmaar U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2022
AZK
AZ Alkmaar U17
5 - 0
Utrecht U17
UTR
66%
18%
16%
28 21 7 0
05 Nov. 2022
PEZ
PEC Zwolle U17
0 - 6
AZ Alkmaar U17
AZK
9%
14%
78%
27 12 15 +1
01 Nov. 2022
AZK
AZ Alkmaar U17
5 - 1
Feyenoord U17
FEY
70%
17%
14%
26 20 6 +1
29 Oct. 2022
AZK
AZ Alkmaar U17
15 - 0
Hollandia U17
HOL
89%
8%
3%
26 11 15 0
08 Oct. 2022
AZK
AZ Alkmaar U17
2 - 0
ADO U17
ADO
83%
11%
6%
26 15 11 0