PSL PSL round 29

Cape Town Spurs vs Swallows FC analysis

Cape Town Spurs Swallows FC
69 ELO 61
-2.5% Tilt 9.2%
2288º General ELO ranking 1440º
23º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
56.5%
Cape Town Spurs
23.9%
Draw
19.6%
Swallows FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
Cape Town Spurs
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.6%
Win probability
Swallows FC
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cape Town Spurs
+6%
-16%
Swallows FC

ELO progression

Cape Town Spurs
Swallows FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cape Town Spurs
Cape Town Spurs
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2015
BLO
Bloemfontein Celtic
2 - 3
Cape Town Spurs
AJA
44%
27%
29%
68 70 2 0
28 Apr. 2015
MAR
Durban City
1 - 0
Cape Town Spurs
AJA
38%
28%
34%
69 67 2 -1
25 Apr. 2015
AJA
Cape Town Spurs
2 - 1
SuperSport United
SSU
41%
27%
33%
67 72 5 +2
21 Apr. 2015
FRE
Free State Stars
1 - 0
Cape Town Spurs
AJA
35%
27%
38%
68 63 5 -1
17 Apr. 2015
AJA
Cape Town Spurs
2 - 0
Pretoria University
PRE
52%
26%
22%
67 65 2 +1

Matches

Swallows FC
Swallows FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2015
SWA
Swallows FC
1 - 0
Durban City
MAR
37%
28%
36%
60 68 8 0
28 Apr. 2015
PRE
Pretoria University
1 - 1
Swallows FC
SWA
46%
27%
27%
60 65 5 0
18 Apr. 2015
SSU
SuperSport United
1 - 1
Swallows FC
SWA
67%
20%
12%
59 72 13 +1
15 Apr. 2015
CHI
Chippa United
1 - 0
Swallows FC
SWA
42%
26%
32%
60 59 1 -1
18 Mar. 2015
SWA
Swallows FC
0 - 3
Kaizer Chiefs
CHI
36%
29%
35%
61 71 10 -1