Ajaccio vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
NÎM
2 - 2
AJA
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
AJA
5 - 1
CLE
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
BRE
1 - 2
AJA
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 4
MPL
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 0
VAN
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
LEN
3 - 0
ANG
77%
17%
7%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 3
LEN
31%
27%
41%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
TRO
0 - 1
LEN
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
LEN
0 - 1
MET
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
LEN
4 - 1
SED
70%
19%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |