NCAA Division I Western Athletic round 5

Air Force vs Grand Canyon analysis

Air Force Grand Canyon
26 ELO 33
-3.3% Tilt 0.3%
47733º General ELO ranking 47731º
855º Country ELO ranking 854º
ELO win probability
34.6%
Air Force
22.1%
Draw
43.3%
Grand Canyon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
Air Force
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
43.3%
Win probability
Grand Canyon
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Air Force
Grand Canyon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Air Force
Air Force
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2021
UVL
Utah Valley
3 - 1
Air Force
AFF
28%
21%
50%
29 21 8 0
20 Feb. 2021
AFF
Air Force
0 - 0
UNLV Rebels
NLV
78%
13%
9%
28 18 10 +1
06 Feb. 2021
AFF
Air Force
4 - 0
Dixie State
DXS
88%
8%
3%
28 12 16 0

Matches

Grand Canyon
Grand Canyon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2021
GCU
Grand Canyon
3 - 2
San José State
SJS
58%
20%
23%
32 28 4 0
20 Feb. 2021
HBH
Houston Baptist
1 - 2
Grand Canyon
GCU
6%
12%
82%
31 9 22 +1