Ain Sud vs Olympique de Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
14º
13º
24
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ain Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 1
AIN
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
AIN
1 - 1
CHA
25%
25%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AIN
1 - 1
LYO
6%
16%
78%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ESM
5 - 0
AIN
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -3 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 2
AIN
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique de Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 2
LYO
11%
18%
71%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 2
OVA
82%
11%
7%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
OVA
0 - 1
ESM
37%
22%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 1
CDE
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FEU
2 - 0
OVA
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |