Aguilarense vs Cañete Base analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguilarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LAV
9 - 0
AGU
54%
21%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 0
CDV
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LAV
2 - 1
AGU
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
3 - 0
REC
51%
23%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
3 - 0
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cañete Base
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 1
REC
13%
19%
69%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |