Águila Sub 20 vs Alianza Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
8º
5º
39
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 13 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águila Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 3
FAS
77%
15%
9%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
3 - 1
ISI
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
AGU
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 2
STE
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
2 - 1
ALI
49%
23%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
ALI
24%
22%
54%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
JOC
3 - 2
ALI
13%
19%
68%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 3
ALI
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
2 - 1
ALI
49%
23%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 1
AGU
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |