Aguia de Maraba vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
52%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
TRE
2 - 1
AGU
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 3
AGU
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 1
BRA
20%
25%
55%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
SAN
20%
25%
55%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
CUI
3 - 0
AGU
66%
21%
14%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 0
BAR
74%
18%
9%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 0
FOR
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CRB
2 - 0
LUV
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 1
LUV
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
LUV
2 - 1
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |