Copa Verde 1/16
Global 4-0
Aguia de Maraba vs Fast Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 3
AGU
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FAS
0 - 1
AGU
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 0
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
REM
5 - 3
AGU
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 1
AGU
72%
19%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FAS
0 - 1
AGU
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
FAS
0 - 2
PRI
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
PRI
0 - 1
FAS
39%
26%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 7
FAS
17%
24%
59%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
FAS
59%
23%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |