Água Santa vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAN
16%
25%
59%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
AGU
17%
25%
59%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 1
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
AGU
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 0
AGU
83%
13%
4%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 3
MIR
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 1
NOV
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAO
18%
25%
57%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PPE
1 - 1
MIR
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 1
MIR
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |